2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup: How Australia made the Round of 32

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Australia’s live odds of advancing to the Round of 32

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Australia has clinched second in Group D.

What Australia needed to advance

Would have finished second if:

  • Final result Australia won or drew

Would have finished third and been eliminated if:

What happened to Australia out of 300 possible scoring scenarios

Each square is a specific final score in both Australia–Paraguay (columns) and
Turkey–the United States (rows) matches, colored by where Australia would’ve finished group play if those scorelines occurred.

2nd 3rd + out

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